-2.1% yoy
↘Market power is widening
Top firms are consolidating share faster than the long tail can react, pushing effective competition down another 2 percentage points this year.
November 2025 | Latest insight
-2.1% yoy
↘Top firms are consolidating share faster than the long tail can react, pushing effective competition down another 2 percentage points this year.
-18% net entry
↘New firm registrations in key product markets fell to their lowest level since 2014, signalling headwinds for innovation.
+4.3% markup
↗Markups across essential services have remained elevated despite easing input costs, suggesting consumers aren't benefiting from lower inflation.
Competition signals
| Metric | Timeline | Trend | Competition signal | Magnitude |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price markups | 2018-24 | ▼ | 18.0%-24.0% | |
| Market concentration (CR4) | 2015-24 | ▼ | 42.9%-48.5% | |
| Firm entry rate | 2004-24 | ▼ | 14.5%-12.1% | |
| Firm exit rate | 2004-24 | ▲ | 10.2%-7.5% | |
| Cross-division mobility | 2018-24 | ▲ | 10.5%-12.1% | |
| Top-4 persistence | 2010-24 | ▲ | 76.0%-60.0% | |
| Gross operating surplus / GDP | 2010-23 | ▼ | 27.0%-30.8% |
Click a division to drill into 2- and 3-digit ANZSIC levels. Size = GVA, color = concentration.